Apr. 28th, 2014

Unexpected

Apr. 28th, 2014 08:22 pm
curiousl: (_morda)
When starting with Daniel Kahneman's "Thinking, fast and slow" I could not imagine how heavy emphasis on statistics is in this book. Even less I expected to learn the story behind famous psycho-test of IDF.

Chapter 21 where he discusses the fact that statistical predictions do better job than human experts predictions also makes a not-so-subtle point of replacing humans with sw programs running simple formulas. And another idea is that simple statistical formulas do no worse than complex ones, with a lot of weighted coefficients. An idea of assigning equal weight to all factors sounds almost heretical yet author states it was proven more often than not. Guess this is where liberal arts are fundamentally different from engineering.

 

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